Sweden’s centre-left opposition is projected to take a one-seat Riksdag majority after Sunday’s vote; Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline remains shut with Yanbu stocks good for only days of Red Sea exports; and Oman postponed Monday’s Gulf–Iran Hormuz meeting as another vessel was struck in the strait. Ten stories as of Sunday evening, September 13.
1. Stockholm. Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, headed by Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson, was projected to win 175 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 174 for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right-wing governing bloc, the election authority said based on votes from 4,853 of 6,312 districts, Reuters reported. Public broadcaster SVT’s forecast put roughly 90% confidence on that 175–174 split, while overseas ballots due midweek could still move seats. Andersson said her side was ready to take responsibility if the lead holds; the hard-right Sweden Democrats lost ground from 2022, DW reported. Final certification is expected later this week.
2. Riyadh / Yanbu. Saudi Arabia’s 1,200-km East-West oil pipeline stayed offline after Friday’s drone strikes, and traders and Saudi oil buyers told Reuters that Yanbu Red Sea stocks may sustain recent exports for only five to seven days. Beyond that, up to about 4% of global supply could be at risk on top of Hormuz disruption already underway. Repair timelines cited to Reuters ranged from days to five or six weeks. U.S. retail diesel rose to another all-time high above $6.20 a gallon on Sunday, Reuters reported. Saudi state media also released video of damage in southern Jazan province from what Riyadh called a Houthi attack; the Houthis claimed a strike on a Saudi military base in a neighbouring province. See also Reuters on Sunday’s Gulf strikes.
3. Strait of Hormuz / Salalah. The British maritime agency UKMTO said a vessel was struck by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, causing a fire and forcing crew evacuation, Reuters reported. Iran said one person was killed and four wounded aboard an Iranian commercial ship struck off its coast. Late Sunday, Oman’s Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi said a regional meeting set for Monday in Salalah between Iran and Gulf states on Hormuz shipping had been postponed “in the interests of consensus,” according to Oman’s Foreign Ministry and Reuters. Bahrain had already said it would not sit with Iran while diplomatic ties remain broken.
4. Perim / Bab el-Mandeb. Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis completed their takeover of Yemen’s Red Sea coastline after capturing Mocha and overrunning Perim (Mayun) Island, Al Jazeera reported, positioning them about 20 km from the African shore at the southern mouth of the Red Sea. The advance deepens the bind on Washington after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman asked President Trump for military help and was offered intelligence support for now, three sources told Reuters. Trump confirmed he spoke with the crown prince and said the Houthis had also contacted his administration asking the U.S. to stay out.
5. Kyiv / Yahodyn. Russia launched 453 Shahed-type and other drones plus S8000 Banderol missiles overnight into Sunday; Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 405 drones and six Banderol missiles, with hits at 13 locations, Ukraine’s Air Force said, the Kyiv Independent reported. Regional authorities said Russian attacks over the past day killed at least six civilians and injured 43. A Russian drone struck the locomotive of a Kyiv–Warsaw train about 2 km from the Polish border at Yahodyn; no passengers were injured, Ukrzaliznytsia said. Poland issued air-threat alerts in counties of Lublin Voivodeship near the border.
6. Brasília. Brazil’s Supreme Court Justice Flávio Dino on Sunday unsealed further material on the production of a film about former President Jair Bolsonaro, citing suspicions the movie’s financing had ties to a criminal network, the Associated Press reported. The unsealing adds pressure on Senator Flávio Bolsonaro — Lula’s leading right-wing challenger ahead of the October 4 election — already under a July investigation for alleged corruption, money laundering, and related counts tied to financing from failed lender Banco Master’s former CEO Daniel Vorcaro, Reuters and AP reported. Flávio denies wrongdoing.
7. Ambae–Santo, Vanuatu. One person is dead and more than 30 remain missing after the inter-island ferry MV Matui sank Friday in rough seas between Santo and Ambae, Prime Minister Jotham Napat’s office said Sunday, Al Jazeera and Reuters reported. Fifteen people have been accounted for alive. The government said open-water search was being scaled back toward the south-east coast, where currents may have carried survivors, and that the sinking appears tied to strong winds, marine warnings not being heeded, and possible negligence including overloading. A French armed forces aircraft joined the search from New Caledonia, AFP reported.
8. Obock, Djibouti. More than 2,000 people fled Yemen to Djibouti over about 24 hours as fighting along the Red Sea coast intensified, the International Organization for Migration said, Al Jazeera reported. Arrivals in Obock — roughly 20 km from Yemen’s shore — received food and water, with IOM warning more support is needed. Overall displacement inside Yemen has topped 85,000 in the latest surge tied to the Houthi coastal offensive.
9. New Delhi. Chinese President Xi Jinping on Sunday pushed “Greater BRICS” initiatives spanning AI to trade as India closed its chair year and China prepares to take the chair in 2027, Reuters reported, citing Xinhua. BRICS leaders had adopted the New Delhi Declaration on Saturday after a last-minute Iran–UAE compromise on Middle East language. Indian officials separately said members discussed protecting energy flows and supply chains amid the West Asia crisis.
10. Toronto / Ottawa. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Sunday Canada seeks a “unique alliance” with the European Union but is not looking to become an EU member, after the Wall Street Journal reported exploration of a yet-to-be-created associate-member status, Reuters reported. Carney will address the European Parliament next week and meet French President Emmanuel Macron on September 20 in Saint Pierre and Miquelon. Separately on Sunday, President Trump called Canada “the worst country to deal with” while saying Ottawa was “dying to make a deal,” and reiterated plans for new tariffs on Canadian cars, trucks, and auto parts from January 1, Reuters reported.
Coming up. Tuesday–Wednesday 15–16 September — Federal Open Market Committee, Washington, with the Summary of Economic Projections. Sunday 20 September — Russia State Duma election. Tuesday 22–Saturday 26 and Monday 28 September — UN General Assembly high-level week, New York. October 4 — Brazil general election (first round). The standing calendar is at The Watch.
Sources: Reuters; Associated Press; Al Jazeera; BBC; AFP; DW; The Guardian; Kyiv Independent; Oman Foreign Ministry.
